Methodology

Public proof. Private method.

Doberman shows the evidence, state transitions, confidence and invalidation logic required to evaluate its conclusions without exposing proprietary implementation details.

Observation

What changed in the underlying evidence?

Signal

Is the change meaningful, timely and distinct from ordinary noise?

Regime

What state best describes the current system?

Confidence

How complete, fresh and aligned is the supporting evidence?

Interpretation

Why does the state matter, and what should be monitored next?

Invalidation

Which future evidence would make the interpretation wrong?