Research category
Liquidity, monetary transmission and cross-asset risk conditions.
Showing 13–24 of 58 current publications
Fed Rate Expectations and Treasury Yields Signal Continued Tight Monetary Policy and Reduced Easing Prospects Over the past 48 hours, market indicators reflect a shift toward maintaining higher interest rates, with reduced expectations for early easing and a focus on persistent inflation.…
Macro and Fed Rate Expectations Signal Cautious Monetary Policy Outlook Over the past 48 hours, OSINT indicates market consensus remains highly aligned with a pause in federal rate hikes, while expectations for future cuts have diminished amid sticky inflation data and hawkish…
Global Liquidity Trends and Central Bank Balance Sheet Changes Indicate Stabilization in Macro Financial Environment Over the past 72 hours, central bank liquidity measures across major economies reflect a mix of easing and stabilization signals, with China injecting liquidity and Western institutions…
Macro and Fed Rate Expectations Show Market Repricing Toward Higher-For-Longer Policy Outlook Over the past 48 hours, market signals indicate a consensus for no rate change at the March FOMC meeting, with expectations shifting toward a potential rate cut starting in June.…
US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics and Drivers Post-CPI Rebound in Macro Markets Over the past 48 hours, the DXY index increased by 0.6% to 104.90 amid rising U.S. inflation data and Treasury yields, reflecting shifts in macroeconomic sentiment and rate expectations. The…
Macro Recession Indicators Signal Economic Softening and Yield Curve Inversion Over the past 72 hours, key macroeconomic signals including PMI data, yield spreads, and credit spreads have shown signs of economic slowdown and increased recession risk. These indicators suggest a potential shift…
ETF Flows Indicate Rotation into AI, Tech, and Bonds Amid Macro Risk and Market Shifts Over the past 48 hours, ETF flow data reveals continued investor rotation into AI, technology, and bond funds, while energy and small-cap ETFs face outflows. These shifts…
Macro ETF Flows and Sector Rotation Trends Indicate Shifts in Risk Appetite and Asset Allocation Over the past 72 hours, ETF inflows across US equity, technology, gold, and energy sectors have signaled notable shifts in risk appetite and asset class preferences, reflecting…
Macro Indicators Signal Potential Recession Risks Amid Yield Curve Inversion and Credit Spreads Widening Over the past 48 hours, macroeconomic signals such as yield curve inversions, credit spreads, and PMI data suggest ongoing recession risks and a late-cycle economic slowdown. These indicators…
Global Liquidity Trends Show Modest Expansion in China, Japan, and Private Sector Dollar Flows Over the past 48 hours, global liquidity indicators reveal a slight uptick driven by Chinese and Japanese monetary policy actions, despite ongoing tightening in the European Central Bank's…
Energy Infrastructure and Macro Risk Indicators Signal Shifts in Capital Flows Over the past 72 hours, OSINT indicates notable changes in energy supply metrics and macroeconomic signals, highlighting evolving risks in infrastructure scaling and liquidity conditions within financial markets. Data shows fluctuations…
Kalshi Prediction Market Controversy and Regulatory Developments Impacting Crypto and Macro Forecasting Over the past 48 hours, increased public backlash and regulatory scrutiny surrounding Kalshi’s prediction contracts, especially regarding the Khamenei resolution, have driven heightened search activity and platform shifts within the…
